Marginal risk for severe weather Thursday

February 16, 2022–10:24 a.m.


A fairly strong front/storm system will move across north & central Georgia late Thursday through Friday morning. Locally heavy rain will be the main threat but there is also the potential for a few stronger storms, especially over west-central and northwest Georgia after sunset, Thursday night.

Primary Threats and Impacts [also see related graphics below]:

  • Heavy rain / Localized flooding
    • 1 to 2 inches of rain is expected, especially along and north of I-85, generally between 3PM Thursday and 3AM Friday morning 
    • Localized flooding or flash flooding is possible — especially over urban areas, complex terrain (north GA), and low-lying/poor drainage spots.
    • A SLIGHT Risk for Excessive Rainfall exists across north GA (Thursday-Thurs night). This is where the best chance of seeing flooding or flash flooding occur.
  • Severe Threat? 
    • A few strong to severe “storms” could result in damaging winds > 60 MPH and/or a weak, short-lived tornado
    • Anywhere across north and central GA
    • After 6PM Thursday evening through 7AM Friday (threat lessens Friday AM)
    • Much of the area is under a MARGINAL risk by SPC – with the better chance for severe weather farther west, across western Alabama at this time.
  • Other threats?
    • Non-convective (away from any storms) wind gusts 20-30 mph with higher gusts over the mountains of north GA could bring a few extra trees/powerlines down
    • Thursday night-Friday morning
    • All of north & central GA


Severe Potential: Day 3 outlook from SPC – will be updated as “Day 2 Outlook” later tonight


Expected Rainfall + WPC Excessive Rainfall Risk (Thurs-Fri):


Timing for any severe weather?


Maximum Expected Non-Convective Wind gusts (Late Thursday afternoon through Friday morning):


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